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2015-2016网络支付能力报告_EN.pdf
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CONTENTS
Executive summary
nd afford able access to
Introduction
thc Internet: Thc current picture
++m-mm…mm
4.2 USing smart policy to close the gender
2 The Affordability Drivers Index(ADI)
digital divice and achieve universal,
La n American nations top the rankings
equal access
for the second year running
5 Policy Recommendations
2. 2 The foot of the table
5.1 Retine affordability wi-n income and
2.3 Moving up the rankings: Myan mar,
gender inequalites in mind
Mexico and morocco
5.2 Reduce the cost of devices
2.4 Afforcability in the world's Cast Dcvclopcd 18
Countries
5.3 Prioritise public access facilities
39-40
2.5 Thc long road to improved broadband
20 5.4 Develop gender responsive national 40-4
affordability
broadband plans
2.6 Increasing affordabil ty by developing
21 5.4 Develop gender responsive national
policies in line with best practices
b
oadband plans
2.7 Comprehensive approach to policymaking 22 5.5 Integrated apprcach to polic. es for
affordable broadband internet
Poverty, Income Inequality and the
23 Annexes
44
Case of Mistaken Affordability
Acknowledgments
44
3.1 I he effect of poverty
Annex A: Methodology
44-4
3.2 The distorting effect of income inequality 26
Annex B: Affordability D"ivers Index
3.3 Hung y for da:a
Emerging countries
3.4 The long road te universal access in
Annex C: Affordability Drives Inde
the world's Least Developed Countries
Devcloping co
3.5 Overcoming the challenges of
30 Annex D: ADI score anc broadband
poverty and income nequality
picc compar sons
4 Gender Inequality: Exacerbating
31 Infographic
50-51
the Affordability Challenge
A4Al Affordability Report 2015/16
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Everyone should have access to the Internet. So concluded the 193
member states of the United Nations when they agreed on a new
set of Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs) in September 2015
Underscoring the potential of the Internet to contribute to globa
development and empowerment, SDG target 9c calls for
universal and affordable access in the world's least developed
countries by 2020
Reaching this goal will requ re oold and immediate
Intended as a contribution to help leaders set us on
action. Cn our curren- trajectory, A4Al predicts that
a path to achieve this goal, the 2015-16 Affordability
wc'll only hit this target in 2042 22 ycars after the
Rcport looks at the afford pility cnvironment across
target date set by the global community. Without
51 countries, considers the effects of poverty and
urgent reform, in 2020 we will see just 16% of people icome inequality and takes a close look a.
in the wor. d's poorest courtries, and 53% of the
gender inequality in access
world as a whole connected. We
won't just miss the targe, we. I miss
by a milc. This connectivity lag will
Top 5: Overall ADI Rankings Top 5: Least Developed Countries
undermine global development
Costa rica
Rwanda
across ne board, contributing to lost
Colombia
Uganda
opportunities for economic growth
and de"ying hund eds of millions
urkey
Gambia
access to online ed cation health
Malaysia
Myanmar
scrviccs, political voice, and m.ch
Tanzania
much more
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
While the report does not consider de
detail, it does note that the cost of getting an internet-
The Affordability Drivers Index
enabled phone can play a large rolc in dctermining
who can afford to be online. When we add the price
ur Affordability Drive s Index (ADI) looks at the
of a hypothetical low-cost US$48 smartphone to
olicies, incentives, and infrastructure investments in
the price of a 500MB broadband plan, the total
place across 51 developing and emerging countries
population in almost all countries that can actually
afford both a broadband plan and a low-cost
and assesses the extent to which they are being
smartphone drops by 20%. We also note that 500MB
implemented. This includes policies which we believe
per month offers only very limited opportunities to
drive progress towards mo e affordable Internet
use the Internet meaningfully
Countries that do well on the adi also tend tc have
lower broad banc prices for their citizens, al though the The Gender Gap in Access
ADI does not measure price directly
As stark as the affordability picture appears for those
Colombia and Costa Rica cnce again top the rankings, living in poverty and at the bottom of the income
with scores that reflect improved infrastructure and
pyramid, the cost tc connect is even higher for women
access indicators. Myanmar achieved the largest
in these groups. The gender wage gap diminishestre
jump in its ADI ranking, moving up nine places to
ability of women-and female-headed households in
27th posit on, thanks to the successful opening of
particular-to afford Internet access. Recent research
the previously state-owned telecoms market to new
by the web Founda. on shews that poor _rban women
operators(2013), and the recent introduc- on cf
arc 50% less likely to bc connccted to the Internet
troad band services(2C14). However, on the whole
than men in the same age group with similar levels
of education and household income
scores on the ADl are low, meaning much hard work lie
ahead for courtries to create the right environment to SDG targets gciafforda b, e universa. access) anc 5b
drive prices down and connection rates ul
(enhancing the use ICT to promote the empowerment
of women) might be found under different overarching
Poverty and Inequality
goals, but thcy are i- cxtricably linked Universal access
cannot be achieved without concrete and focused efforts
Despite falling prices, not one of the 51 countries
to bring women online, just as full gender equality cannot
included in our analysis has met the 5%
be achieved without enabling women's access to an
affordability target for those living in poverty. This
fordable, open, and safe l -ternet. Access to education,
is not an issue affecting small numbers of people
and skill building and training opportunities is key to
1. 9 billion people in the ccuntries covered by the
supoort womcn's cifcctivc participation in a digital
All live in poverty (i.e, unde$3.10 per day)
SOCIety, and must be considered and integ
Income inequality also plays a role, and may make
as part of a comprehensive strategy
progress appear faster than it is. Although 25 of 51
countries have met the UN's 5% affordability target Recommendations
for those earning the average national income, just
1. Develop and work toward a more ambitious
nine of these countries meet the affordability target
affordability target. Wc propose a ncw"l for 2
for the bottom 20% of income earners. the means
target: 1GB of data priced at 2 or less of average
that millions continue to oe priced out of the digita
monthly ncome
revolution in countr es which have met the 5%o target
However, when costs drop to 2 Yo or less of monthly
2. Reduce the cost of mobile phones and ICT
incomes, access tends to be affordable for all
devices, Governments must work to reform tax
Income groups
and gatet regimes so that ici device costs can
come down. They will also need to incentivise the
A4Al Affordability Report 2015/16
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
private sector to develop h gh quality, Icw-cost
skills and empowerment, and back these with
martha
if c
d budget allocations Gende
3. Increase investment in and availability of public
disaggregated data must be collected to monitor
subsidised access. There are always groups that
progress. This should be done through more gender
will be excluded by the market and for whom access
responsive national broadband planning
costs wil. still remain cut of rcach. Public access via
5. Integrated approach to policymaking. Gctting
libraries, community centres, and municipal WiFi
he online requires balanced policies that
schemes-funded by well-run Universal Service
and Access Funds- is critical to deliver access
ddress demand as well as supply; regulation as
we. I as com petition; fixed-line as well as mobile
to these populations
broadband; public access as wel. as individual
4. Create specific, time-bound targets to close
subscriptions. Governmen" ministers and others
the gender digital divide. Across much of th
must spcarh cad cfforts to convenc all actors and
developing world, the gender gap in nternet use is
develop a clear, coherent plan for sequencing
staggering -for example, there is just one woman
reforms and stimulating the investments needed
online for every three men online in Kampala
to en able reduced costs and wider access. Donors
Uganda. Governments must set concrete targets
and aid agencies must come to the party with
to achieve gender equity in digi:al adoption
financial and practical support
EVERYONE SHOULD HAVE ACCESS
TO THE INTERNET
6
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NTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION
Everyone should have access to the /nternet. "That
office. For Nigerians, just 500MB of mobile prepaid
was the agreement in September 2015. when the 193 data can cost more than they spend on their
member states of the United Nations agreed cn a
children's cducation
new set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
which set the global develcpment agenda for the
The UN Broadband Commission" def nes broadband
ncxt 15 ycars. With an explicit ta gct in SDG 9c of
as affordable if an entry-level (500Me) package is
universal and affordable access across the world's
availablc at 5%or less of avcrage monthly incom c
Least Developed Countries (LDCs)by 2020
(i.e., GN per cap ta). Yet, in 2014, the average cost of
it implicitly assumes universal and affordable
a 500MB prepaid bundle was 15.2 of GNl per capita
access at the global level -access for everyone,
in LDCs and 6. 5%o across developing countries
r to be dr
will takc _DCs ncarly 30 ycars to rcach
affordability, as defined by the UN, is increasing
this targe
last year the ITU reported that 67 out of 116
lo reach this goal will require bald action. Unless
developing countries had actually achieved the
we dramatically accelerate progress, only 16% of
UN's 5% affordability target. Why, then, is growth
people in the world's poorest countries, and 53%
in Inte net use actually s owing? Use across the
cf the world as a whole, will be connected by 2020
globe grew by 7.4% in 2014, but just by 6.9%5
This connectivity lag will not only result in a hugo
in?015.
amount of lost economic gowth -it will a so deny
hundreds of m llions of people access to educaion
What is holding back progress?
hea, th services, political voice, and employment
I his report argues that growth in ccnnectiv ty
opportunities through the Internet
is lagging due to the failure of policymakers
I his repcrt identifies critical barriers that must be
to tackle the combined effects of poverty
overcome in just four short years to achieve the
and income inequality
SDG connectivity target, and sets out the steps
While poverty on the whole is falling (both
governments, regulators, b, sinesses and civil
in absolute numbers and as a percentage of
society organisations must take now
population), there are still over two billion peaple
The status quo
living in absolute poverty across the developing
world i.e. on less than US$3. 10/day)
of who
Today, over four billion people-some 56% of
live in LDCs. For these people, affordable Interet
the world -are still -ot using the Internet. The
access remains a
majority of this offI ne copulation are women
very distant reality
Most live in LDCs and cther developing countries
Economic growth in the developing world has
One of the key obstacles ccuntries face in the
not been evenly distributed. Accord ng to the UN,
ace to expand access is afford ability- the vast
more than 75% of developing country households
majority of those without Internet access today are
live today in societies where income is more
offline simply because they cannot afford a basic
unequally dist ibuted tlan it was in the 1990s
glans, constant access t
When a few people earn a lot while others earn
fast, uncapped broadband costs little more tha
very little, the "average per capita income-the
the latte many buy every day on the way to the
benchmark the UN uses to assess affordability
ill be much higher than what most people actually
I for purposes of this report, we def ne"universal access"as an In:ernet penetration rate of 90%. This def nition draws on the wsiS declaration, w nich
defines universal access as"Universal, ubiquitous, equitable and affordable access to ICT infrastructure and scrvices
ItU(2c15),MeasuringtheIntormationSccietyReport2015.http://www.itu.int/en/tu-d/statistics/fages/publica:ioNs/miS2015.aspx
ItU(2C15),mEasuringtheInformationSocietyReport2015.http://www.itu.int/'en/tu-d/statistics/fages/publIcaRions/mis2015.aspx
TroughoLt this report, all price measurements for 500MB plans are for prepaid, mobile plans unless otherwise noted). All pr ce measurements for IGB
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INTRODUCTION
earn. In South Africa, for example, the average
cnthly income. We propose a new“1for2”
come is USS6,800(GNI per capita, 2014),but
target: IGB of data priced at 2 o or less
60%o the population actually carn less than half
of avcrage monthly income
cf that amount. I- practice this means that for almost
half the South African opulation, a seemingly
2. Reduce the cost of mobile phones and ICT
affordab, c mobilc Intcrnct connection(priced at abcut
devices For Internet access to be affordable to
1.5%o of average"manthly income)actually costs
those currently priced out, it is important
anywhere between. 7-15% of their income. The idea of
to reduce device costs. Prices of mobile phones
a national "avcrage"incomc is further skewed by gender and other devices can be inflated by higl
nequality in earnings. This means that a nation can
import taxes and excessive paten: and royalty
meet the UNs top-level affordability target, but still see
fees. Governments must work to reform tax and
huge swathes of its pcoplc unable tc afford to connect
patent regimes so that IC I device costs can
to the Internet. We explore these themes and their
come down, and will nccd to inccntivisc the
impacts in detail in Chapter 3
private sector to develop high-quality,
low-coSt smartphones
The time for action is now
3. Increase investment in and availability of
Time is short. In order to bring over four bill on
public, subsidised access. A strong, competitive
Feople online in under f ve years, we must act
broadband market can go a long way towards
now, and at a scale and speed never seen before
driving prices down and -in tandem with
Governments, the private sector, donors, and civi
cheaper devices- connecting the unconnected
socicty must come togcther to take the bold stcps
However, there are always groups that will be
that will enable those offline to afford and access
excluded by the market and for whom access
a free and open Internet
costs will still remain out of reach. Public access
via libraries, co mmun ty centres, and municipal
The digital divide is a poverty and gender divide
WiFi schemes-fundec by well-run Universa
The very high cost of data and devices his hardest
Service and access funds- is cri-ical to
those who earn the least. particularly women and
deliver access to these papula icns
rural dwellers. Un. css spccific steps arc taken to makc
the l-ternet affordable and accessible -o
4. Create specific, time-bound targets to close
these groups, blanket initiatives to"connect
the gender digital divide. Across much of the
everyone"risk deepening existing male/ female
developing world, thc gender gap in Intcrnct
and urban/rura. disparities
use is staggering -in Kampala, Uganda, for
Achieving the universal and affordable access
example, there is just one woman online for every
called for in SDG 9c will require specific and urgent
three men online. yet acknowledgement of tcis
measures to overcome the barriers presented by
digital gender gap is largely inv sible in naticnal
poverty and income inequality. These include
broadband plans and in official statistics
Governments must sct concrcte targets to
1. Develop and work toward a more ambitious
achieve gender equity in digical adoption, skills,
affordability target. To achieve universal access,
nd em
d must support these
we must drive prices well below the current
targets with specific programmes and budget
established target of entry-level (i. e, 500MB)
allocations. Gender-d 'saggregated data must
broadband priced at 5% or less of average
be collected to monitor progress
ItU(2015),mEasuringtheInformationSocetyReport2c15.http://ww.itu.int/er/itu-d/statIstIcs/pageS/publIcations/mis2015.aspx
6 ITL(2015)Measuring the Information Soc ely Re port ?. 15 hl lp: //www it u in/pn/ ITU-T/Slatisti: s/Pages/put: lic atic s/mis C 15aSx
World Bank (2015). Poverty Overview. nttp: //v/ww worldbank. org/en/topic/poverty/overview
A4Al Affordability Report 2015/16
INTRODUCTION
5. Integrated approach to policymaking.
(e. g.
unications minister
Getting everyone online requires balanced
o the office of a head of state) must take th
policics thet address demand as wcll as s. pply
Icad in convening thesc actors and developing
reg. lation as well as com petition; fixed-line
a clear, coherent plan for sequencing reforms
broad band as well as mobile; public access as
and marshalling the investments needed
wcll 3s consumer affordability. This demands
Donor agencics and governments must
cooperation across ministries, between
support this process by stepping up investment
geographic units (local, state and naticnal),
in broad band infrastructure and low-ccst
and among private sector sta kcholdcrs, whose
connectivity modcls, as well as in digital skills,
business interests may be very different
local content, and public access initiatives
THE TIME FOR ACTION IS NOW
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